beef-radar THE HAMSTER WHEEL: HOW BIG AG TURNS YOUR TAX DOLLARS INTO GUARANTEED PROFITS

## Farm subsidies were supposed to save family farmers. Instead, they’ve become a wealth-transfer machine from taxpayers to fertilizer monopolies, seed giants, and chemical cartels. *By Beef News | Research conducted 2026-02-03* — **RESEARCH PARAMETERS** – **Domain**: Activist-Corporate Collusion + Regulatory Architecture – **Tier**: VI (Monopoly Mask-Off) with policy mechanism breakdown – **Primary Sources**: Farm

## Farm subsidies were supposed to save family farmers. Instead, they’ve become a wealth-transfer machine from taxpayers to fertilizer monopolies, seed giants, and chemical cartels.

*By Beef News | Research conducted 2026-02-03*

**RESEARCH PARAMETERS**
– **Domain**: Activist-Corporate Collusion + Regulatory Architecture – **Tier**: VI (Monopoly Mask-Off) with policy mechanism breakdown – **Primary Sources**: Farm Action subsidy analysis, EWG subsidy database, USDA GAO reports, Yara fertilizer industry handbook

Every year, Congress debates **billions in farm subsidies**—crop insurance, Price Loss Coverage, disaster relief. The story is always the same: farmers are hurting, costs are rising, and they ne ed help.

So lawmakers open the spigot. Taxpayer money flows. And farmers… **stay broke**.

Why? Because the **farm safety net** is a lie.

It’s not a safety net. It’s a **hamster wheel**—and the corporations running it are getting rich while farmers run themselves to death.

## THE CYCLE: HOW MONOPOLIES TURN SUBSIDIES INTO PROFITS

Here’s how the scam works:

**Step 1**: Input monopolies—**fertilizer, seed, and chemical companies**—raise their prices. Not based on production costs. Not based on supply and demand. Based on **what they know farmers can pay**.

**Step 2**: With costs climbing, farmers turn to **Congress for help**. They can’t make ends meet. They need relief.

**Step 3**: Lawmakers respond by **raising subsidies** through programs like [crop
insurance](https://farmaction.us/2023/03/02/crop-insurance-how-the-big-farms-get-bigger/) or Price Loss Coverag
e, hoping to throw farmers a lifeline.

**Step 4**: As soon as the money is available, input companies **raise prices again**, capturing the new subsidy dollars for themselves.

**Step 5**: Farmers are back where they started—broke. They go back to Congress. The cycle repeats.

[Taxpayer dollars meant to support
farmers](https://farmaction.us/how-monopolies-cash-in-on-farm-subsidies/) become **guaranteed corporate profits**. Farmers remain trapped, their margins squeez
ed no matter how much aid is provided.

This isn’t a market failure. **It’s a rigged pricing system.**

## THE SMOKING GUN: FERTILIZER PRICES TRACK SUBSIDIES, NOT COSTS

Most people assume prices rise and fall with supply and demand. But in agriculture, the largest input suppliers play by **different rules**.

One of the nation’s biggest nitrogen fertilizer companies, **Yara**, [admitted in its 2018 Fertilizer Industry
Handbook](https://www.yara.com/siteassets/investors/057-reports-and-presentations/o ther/2018/fertilizer-industry-handbook-2018-with-notes.pdf) that **about half of fertilizer price changes are tied to grain prices**.

Read that again: **Fertilizer prices aren’t based on production costs. They’re based on what farmers earn.**

> “About half of fertilizer price changes are tied to grain prices.” > — Yara Fertilizer Industry Handbook (2018)

Translation: When farmers earn more—whether from higher crop prices or new subsidies—**fertilizer companies raise prices to capture it**.

This isn’t price discovery. It’s **price extraction**.

## WHO CONTROLS THE INPUTS? THREE COMPANIES DOMINATE FERTILIZER

The fertilizer industry is one of the most concentrated in all of agriculture. Just **three companies** dominate the North American market:

**Nitrogen Fertilizer CR4 (North America): 82%**

– **CF Industries**: 39% of total nitrogen capacity (37% ammonia, 42% urea) – **Nutrien**: 22% of total nitrogen capacity (21% ammonia, 25% urea) – **Koch Industries**: 15% of total nitrogen capacity (14% ammonia, 16% urea) – **Yara**: 6% of total nitrogen capacity (6% ammonia, 7% urea)

**Phosphate Fertilizer CR2 (North America): 90%**

– **Mosaic**: Produces **64% of phosphate rock mined in the U.S.**, **80% of phosphate fertilizers manufactured in North America**, and controls **over 90% of phosphate-fertilizer sales to U.S.
farmers**.
– **Nutrien**: Controls the remainder with Mosaic.
– Only **two other firms** (J.R. Simplot and Itafos) produce phosphate in North America.

**Potash Fertilizer CR2 (North America): 90%+**

– **Nutrien**: Produces **55-60% of the potash mined in North America** annually, controls **40% of potassium-fertilizer sales**. – **Mosaic**: Produces **35% of North America’s potash output**, controls **35% of continent’s potassium fertilizer sales**.
– Only **three other firms** in the entire country produce potash fertilizer—and none are remotely large enough to compete.

[Source: Farm Action Agriculture Consolidation Data
Hub](https://farmaction.us/concentrationdata/)

When three companies control **82% of nitrogen**, two companies control **90% of phosphate**, and two companies control **90% of potash**, there is no competition.

There is only **coordinated extraction**.

## SEEDS AND CHEMICALS: THE SAME STORY

Fertilizer isn’t the only input monopoly gaming the subsidy system. The **seed and agrichemical industries** are just as concentrated—and just as predatory.

**Global Seed CR4: 51%**

– Bayer: 23%
– Corteva: 17%
– ChemChina: 7%
– BASF: 4%

**Global Agrichemical CR4: 62%**

– ChemChina: 24.6%
– Bayer: 16%
– BASF: 11.3%
– Corteva: 10.4%

**U.S. Corn Seed CR4: 80%**

– Corteva: 38.3%
– Bayer: 33.3%
– AgReliant: 6.8%
– Syngenta: 5%

**U.S. Soybean Seed CR4: 70%**

– Corteva: 37.7%
– Bayer: 28.2%
– Syngenta: 9.2%
– AgReliant: 3%

**U.S. Seed Genetics for Corn, Soybeans, and Cotton CR2: 90%**

– **Bayer and BASF** control **90% of trait acres** for corn, soybeans, and cotton.

[Source: Farm Action Agriculture Consolidation Data
Hub](https://farmaction.us/concentrationdata/)

When four companies control **51% of global seeds**, four companies control **62% of agrichemicals**, and **two companies control 90% of seed genetics**, there is no innovation.

There is only **rent extraction**.

## WHO REALLY WINS? (SPOILER: NOT FARMERS)

Let’s be clear about who benefits from the subsidy cycle:

### **Farmers: Subsidies In, Costs Out**

Subsidies arrive. Input costs rise to absorb them. Farmers’ margins **stay squeezed**. The promised relief **never arrives**.

### **Taxpayers: Billions Spent, Little Benefit**

Congress appropriates **billions** for farm relief. Most of it doesn’t reach family farmers—it flows straight to **corporate input
suppliers**.

### **Agribusiness Giants: Guaranteed Profits**

Fertilizer, seed, and chemical companies—already **highly concentrated and powerful**—capture more profit with every round of government support.

The subsidy isn’t a safety net. **It’s a siphon.**

## WHEN GOOD PROGRAMS GO WRONG

Programs like **crop insurance** and [**reference price
guarantees**](https://farmaction.us/2023/11/03/family-farmers-need-support-increasing-reference-prices-isnt-the-answer/) were originally d
esigned to stabilize farmers and ensure a reliable food supply.

But over time, they’ve been **bent to serve the largest operations**:

– The **top 10% of farms** receive [**more than three-quarters of
commodity payments**](https://www.ewg.org/research/updated-ewg-farm-subsidy-database-shows-largest-producers-reap-billions-despi te-climate).
– Just **2% of farms** captured [**more than one-third of crop
insurance subsidies**](https://www.agriculturedive.com/news/crop-insurance-usda-farms-premiums-gao-report/701718/) in a single year
.
– **Young and beginning farmers** are often
[**excluded**](https://www.brownfieldagnews.com/news/young-farmers-want-base-acres-changes/) because payments are tied to **”base acres”** that only l
arger, established farms control.

Instead of protecting farmers, these programs **fuel the subsidy cycle**—reinforcing a system where **corporations, not farmers, come out on top**.

## THE MECHANISM: HOW MONOPOLIES CAPTURE SUBSIDIES

**Step 1: Market Concentration Eliminates Price Competition**

When three companies control **82% of nitrogen fertilizer**, there is no competitive market. There is only **coordinated pricing**.

**Step 2: Price Discrimination Based on Farmer Earnings**

Fertilizer companies **track grain prices and subsidy levels**. When farmers earn more, input prices rise to absorb it.

This is explicit. Yara admitted it. **Half of fertilizer price changes are tied to grain prices**—not costs.

**Step 3: Lobbying to Expand Subsidies**

Input monopolies **lobby Congress to expand farm subsidies**—knowing the money will flow back to them through higher input prices.

This is why the **National Corn Growers Association** (funded by seed and chemical companies) and the **American Soybean Association** (also corporate-backed) consistently lobby for **higher ref
erence prices and expanded crop insurance**.

It’s not about helping farmers. **It’s about expanding the subsidy pool** so monopolies can capture more.

**Step 4: Regulatory Capture Prevents Antitrust Enforcement**

The **USDA**, **DOJ**, and **FTC** have the authority to break up these monopolies under the **Sherman Act** and **Clayton Act**.

They don’t.

Why? **Revolving door**. Former industry executives staff USDA. Former USDA officials land at agribusiness lobbying firms.

Example: **Tom Vilsack**, current USDA Secretary, was CEO of the **U.S. Dairy Export Council** (a checkoff-funded lobbying group) between his two stints at USDA. His combined compensation from c heckoff-funded roles? [**$1.5
million**](https://farmaction.us/2023/04/12/checkoff-corruption/).

He’s not the exception. **He’s the model.**

## THE BOTTOM LINE: FARMERS DON’T WANT SUBSIDIES—THEY WANT FAIR MARKETS

Farmers don’t want to be on the hamster wheel. They want a **fair chance to make a living** from their hard work.

That means:

### **1. Reform Crop Insurance So It Works for Small and Mid-Sized Farms**

Cap subsidies for mega-operations. Redirect support to **young, beginning, and underserved farmers** who are locked out by the “base acres” system.

### **2. End Subsidy Hikes That Pad Corporate Profits**

Stop raising reference prices and insurance coverage when input monopolies are waiting to absorb the increase.

### **3. Enforce Antitrust Laws to Rein In Consolidation**

Break up fertilizer, seed, and chemical monopolies under the **Sherman Act**. These industries are **textbook oligopolies** and violate existing law.

The DOJ should **investigate and prosecute** coordinated pricing and market allocation.

### **4. Expand Safety Net Access for Young and Beginning Farmers**

Decouple subsidies from **”base acres”**—a system that locks new farmers out while subsidizing the largest operations.

### **5. Tie Subsidies to Stewardship, Not Production**

Reward farmers for building **healthy soil and resilient food systems**—not for maximizing short-term yields with monopoly inputs.

## THE CHOICE

The farm safety net was meant to **protect farmers**. But corporate power has twisted it into a system that **drains public dollars** while leaving farmers stuck.

Farmers are running as hard as they can. But the wheel just keeps spinning—and the corporations running it are getting richer.

**This isn’t a market.** It’s a **wealth-transfer machine** from taxpayers to monopolists.

And it will keep running until we **break the wheel**.

**Want to support farmers who aren’t feeding the monopoly?** Find independent producers at
**[BeefMaps.com](https://beefmaps.com)**—where your dollar goes to the farmer, not the fertilizer cartel.

## PRIMARY SOURCES

– [Farm Action: How Monopolies Cash In on Farm
Subsidies](https://farmaction.us/how-monopolies-cash-in-on-farm-subsidies/) – [Farm Action: Agriculture Consolidation Data
Hub](https://farmaction.us/concentrationdata/)
– [Yara: Fertilizer Industry Handbook 2018
(PDF)](https://www.yara.com/siteassets/investors/057-reports-and-presentations/other/2018/fertilizer-industry-handbook-2018-with-notes.pdf) – [EWG: Farm Subsidy Database – Top 10% Receive 75%+ of
Payments](https://www.ewg.org/research/updated-ewg-farm-subsidy-database-shows-largest-producers-reap-billions-despite-climate) – [Agriculture Dive: GAO Report on Crop Insurance
Concentration](https://www.agriculturedive.com/news/crop-insurance-usda-farms-premiums-gao-report/701718/) – [Brownfield Ag News: Young Farmers Excluded by Base Acres
System](https://www.brownfieldagnews.com/news/young-farmers-want-base-acres-changes/) – [Farm Action: Checkoff Corruption – Tom Vilsack’s
$1.5M](https://farmaction.us/2023/04/12/checkoff-corruption/) – [Farm Action: Crop Insurance – How the Big Farms Get
Bigger](https://farmaction.us/2023/03/02/crop-insurance-how-the-big-farms-get-bigger/) – [Farm Action: Reference Prices Aren’t the
Answer](https://farmaction.us/2023/11/03/family-farmers-need-support-increasing-reference-prices-isnt-the-answer/)

*Research conducted under the Beef Research Protocol | Tier VI (Monopoly Mask-Off) with policy mechanism breakdown*

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